If you want to understand where the Calgary real estate market is heading, stop listening to opinions and start watching velocity.

Not prices.
Not headlines.
Not social media hot takes.

Speed of sales — how fast homes are actually selling — tells the real story.

Below are two exclusive charts from JerryCharlton.com that track:

• Total home sales by month

• Average daily home sales by month

Together, they form one of the cleanest signals of market strength, buyer urgency, and negotiating power available in Calgary today.

Total Home Sales by Month (Calgary)

Big Picture Pattern

• Spring surges every year

• Summer cools modestly

• Fall slows

• Winter hits the brakes

That’s normal seasonality.

But the level of activity inside that cycle is what matters.

Key Observations

• Spring 2023 & Spring 2024 peaked above 3,000 sales/month

• Spring 2025 peaked closer to 2,550 sales/month

• Late 2025 drifted down into the 1,100–1,500 range

• Early 2026 is starting around 1,200 sales/month

This is not a crash.

It is a normalization.

Translation:
Calgary moved from red-hot → hot → warm

Still healthy. Still active. Just less frantic.

Average Daily Home Sales (Speed of Market)

This chart strips out month length and shows pure velocity.

Peak Speeds

• May–June 2023: ~100–105 homes/day

• April–May 2024: ~96–100 homes/day

• April–May 2025: ~74–83 homes/day

• Early 2026: ~40 homes/day

That is a massive deceleration from the frenzy years.

But context matters:

• Pre-pandemic Calgary often lived in the 40–60 homes/day range

• Today’s numbers are drifting back toward historical norms

This looks less like weakness and more like gravity returning.

What This Means (Plain English)

For Buyers

• Fewer bidding wars

• More conditional offers accepted

• Price sensitivity increasing

• Negotiation power slowly returning

You’re no longer shopping in a fire drill.

For Sellers

• Pricing correctly matters again

• Overpriced listings sit

• Presentation, staging, and exposure matter more

This is becoming a skill-based market again.

For Investors

• Velocity slowdowns create opportunity

• Motivated sellers appear first

• Spread between “ask” and “sell” widens

• Margin-of-safety buying becomes possible again

This is the early stage where good investors quietly build positions.

Why Speed Beats Price as a Signal

Prices can:

• Lag reality

• Be sticky on the way down

• Be distorted by a few extreme sales

Speed cannot fake.

When sales per day rise → demand is expanding
When sales per day fall → demand is cooling

Velocity turns before headlines do.

That’s why professional traders, hedge funds, and serious real estate investors track rate-of-change before they care about absolute price.

The 2026 Calgary Market in One Sentence

Still healthy. No longer manic. Quietly shifting toward balance.

That’s the environment where smart decisions get made.

Why These Charts Are Different

These charts are built from MLS data and processed into market-speed visuals you won’t find on public portals or media sites.

They focus on:

• Micro-trends

• Momentum

• Direction of demand

Not fluff.

They’re part of a larger analytics system built specifically for Calgary buyers, sellers, and investors who want facts instead of noise.

Bottom Line

If you’re planning to buy, sell, or invest in Calgary over the next 6–18 months:

Watch speed, not hype.
Follow data, not narratives.

Because the people who win in real estate aren’t the loudest.

They’re the best informed.